Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.411051 3.804317 4.230904 4.729040 5.296046 5.922835 6.670192
2025-03-02 2.755962 3.263805 3.854131 4.594822 5.504587 6.592242 8.001028
2025-03-09 2.371813 2.935748 3.625816 4.539937 5.730322 7.243405 9.337052
2025-03-16 2.094429 2.685093 3.438188 4.480685 5.905082 7.810530 10.598932
2025-03-23 1.965486 2.600135 3.439751 4.649453 6.376983 8.800537 12.539789
2025-03-30 1.801730 2.446760 3.326947 4.638807 6.584424 9.428647 14.025305
2025-04-06 1.656383 2.301917 3.207275 4.598095 6.732308 9.971325 15.434466
2025-04-13 1.475171 2.088931 2.969202 4.355543 6.543795 9.970443 15.962364
2025-04-20 1.386040 2.001490 2.905080 4.365907 6.741809 10.588947 17.583373
2025-04-27 1.327531 1.953914 2.894850 4.455812 7.071149 11.450267 19.731777
2025-05-04 1.273800 1.908630 2.882994 4.539366 7.394285 12.330965 22.030885
2025-05-11 1.216923 1.853619 2.850441 4.583844 7.651698 13.119952 24.262515
2025-05-18 1.161354 1.798314 2.815630 4.625650 7.916529 13.967485 26.770491
2025-05-25 1.078910 1.693778 2.692356 4.503668 7.872960 14.234772 28.139574
2025-06-01 1.017284 1.619178 2.613228 4.451810 7.952048 14.742904 30.090528
2025-06-08 0.960241 1.548328 2.535086 4.394237 8.012790 15.218537 32.040313
2025-06-15 0.944599 1.546715 2.576234 4.559319 8.523200 16.669865 36.457444
2025-06-22 0.902437 1.496193 2.527068 4.548925 8.679584 17.393613 39.271526
2025-06-29 0.859194 1.441004 2.465570 4.509124 8.770423 17.984012 41.855295
2025-07-06 0.791165 1.337701 2.309819 4.271956 8.423385 17.558530 41.767971
2025-07-13 0.762116 1.303202 2.279149 4.282090 8.607393 18.364578 45.068926
2025-07-20 0.745142 1.289684 2.286699 4.370005 8.969806 19.631697 49.866454
2025-07-27 0.728236 1.275198 2.291250 4.451703 9.326242 20.930154 55.014443